tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:59 PWM → 21:56 ATL
    DL 488 · Delta · 2h 58m · 68% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:00 ATL → 23:15 BNA
    DL 3121 · Delta · 1h 15m · 80% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 16mPWM 18:59 to BNA 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.