tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 11:37 SAN → 19:09 DTW
    DL 492 · Delta · 4h 33m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DTW → 21:00 MSP
    DL 1303 · Delta · 1h 55m · 65% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 23mSAN 11:37 to MSP 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.