tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:37 SAN → 19:09 DTW
    DL 492 · Delta · 4h 33m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 23:17 PHL
    DL 2402 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 40mSAN 11:37 to PHL 23:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.