tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 09:45 LAX → 17:10 DTW
    DL 494 · Delta · 4h 25m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 DTW → 19:50 LGA
    DL 2604 · Delta · 1h 51m · 61% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 05mLAX 09:45 to LGA 19:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.