tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Dallas via Atlanta: arrives on time 90%

  1. 22:59 SFO → 06:40 ATL
    DL 495 · Delta · 4h 41m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 ATL → 11:24 DAL +1 day
    DL 1115 · Delta · 2h 09m · 92% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 25mSFO 22:59 to DAL 11:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.