tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 86%

  1. 22:59 SFO → 06:40 ATL
    DL 495 · Delta · 4h 41m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:58 ATL → 09:30 MSY +1 day
    DL 1424 · Delta · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 34mSFO 22:59 to MSY 09:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.