tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 85%

  1. 22:59 SFO → 06:40 ATL
    DL 495 · Delta · 4h 41m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ATL → 11:04 AUS +1 day
    DL 2886 · Delta · 2h 24m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 05mSFO 22:59 to AUS 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.