tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 83%

  1. 22:59 SFO → 06:40 ATL
    DL 495 · Delta · 4h 41m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 12:44 LGA +1 day
    DL 371 · Delta · 2h 14m · 86% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 45mSFO 22:59 to LGA 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.