tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 58%

  1. 23:30 LAS → 07:25 JFK
    DL 498 · Delta · 4h 54m · 64% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 JFK → 11:14 ATL +1 day
    DL 2227 · Delta · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 44mLAS 23:30 to ATL 11:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.