tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:45 BOS → 10:19 DEN
    DL 499 · Delta · 4h 34m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 DEN → 14:10 MSP
    DL 2849 · Delta · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 25mBOS 07:45 to MSP 14:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.