tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:58 ATL → 19:39 LAX
    DL 500 · Delta · 4h 41m · 77% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 LAX → 21:49 SFO
    DL 2197 · Delta · 1h 25m · 45% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 52mATL 17:58 to SFO 21:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.