tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:10 LAS → 06:04 DTW
    DL 502 · Delta · 3h 54m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 11:57 RDU +1 day
    DL 2164 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 206 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 11m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 50mLAS 23:10 to RDU 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.