tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 23:10 LAS → 06:04 DTW
    DL 502 · Delta · 3h 54m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 12:53 TPA +1 day
    DL 2587 · Delta · 2h 38m · 79% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 206 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 11m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 43mLAS 23:10 to TPA 12:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.