tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 83%

  1. 23:10 LAS → 06:04 DTW
    DL 502 · Delta · 3h 54m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 DTW → 10:23 IAD +1 day
    DL 2884 · Delta · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 15mLAS 23:10 to IAD 10:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.