tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 78%

  1. 23:10 LAS → 06:04 DTW
    DL 502 · Delta · 3h 54m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 DTW → 10:29 ATW +1 day
    DL 4440 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 29m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 19mLAS 23:10 to ATW 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.