tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:45 MCO → 11:59 LAX
    DL 504 · Delta · 5h 14m · 92% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:11 LAX → 15:11 SAN
    DL 4001 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 26mMCO 09:45 to SAN 15:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.