tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 82%

  1. 18:40 RDU → 20:50 LAX
    DL 508 · Delta · 5h 10m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 30mRDU 18:40 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.