tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:59 DAL → 19:14 ATL
    DL 512 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 ATL → 22:17 MIA
    DL 1588 · Delta · 2h 01m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 18mDAL 15:59 to MIA 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.