tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 15:59 DAL → 19:14 ATL
    DL 512 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 20:36 MEM
    DL 2001 · Delta · 1h 26m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 37mDAL 15:59 to MEM 20:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.