tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:59 DAL → 19:14 ATL
    DL 512 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 23:04 JFK
    DL 2101 · Delta · 2h 34m · 47% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 05mDAL 15:59 to JFK 23:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.