tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:30 ATL → 10:43 LGA
    DL 513 · Delta · 2h 13m · 88% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 LGA → 15:34 TPA
    DL 2106 · Delta · 2h 59m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 04mATL 08:30 to TPA 15:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.