tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:05 LAX → 14:30 ATL
    DL 515 · Delta · 4h 25m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:19 ATL → 15:57 MSY
    DL 3146 · Delta · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 52mLAX 07:05 to MSY 15:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.