tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Washington via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:10 DEN → 18:25 JFK
    DL 532 · Delta · 4h 18m · 85% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 JFK → 22:59 DCA
    DL 5743 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 68% on time, 17.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (17.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 59mDEN 12:10 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.