tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 47%

  1. 09:05 SEA → 14:25 MSP
    DL 536 · Delta · 3h 20m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 MSP → 17:02 ORD
    DL 1306 · Delta · 1h 42m · 57% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 57mSEA 09:05 to ORD 17:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.