tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Miami via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:05 SEA → 14:25 MSP
    DL 536 · Delta · 3h 20m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 MSP → 23:35 MIA
    DL 2187 · Delta · 3h 45m · 75% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 221 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 26m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip11h 31mSEA 09:05 to MIA 23:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.