tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 09:05 SEA → 14:25 MSP
    DL 536 · Delta · 3h 20m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:15 MSP → 22:26 TPA
    DL 2385 · Delta · 3h 11m · 75% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip10h 21mSEA 09:05 to TPA 22:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.