tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → St Louis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:05 SEA → 14:25 MSP
    DL 536 · Delta · 3h 20m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 MSP → 16:46 STL
    DL 3185 · Delta · 1h 31m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 41mSEA 09:05 to STL 16:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.