tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 13:35 SEA → 21:40 ATL
    DL 542 · Delta · 5h 05m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 23:43 MSY
    DL 2224 · Delta · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 09mSEA 13:35 to MSY 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.