tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New Orleans via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 13:59 JFK
    DL 546 · Delta · 4h 59m · 93% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:31 JFK → 18:02 MSY
    DL 1387 · Delta · 3h 31m · 80% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 02mPHX 06:00 to MSY 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.