tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 PHX → 13:59 JFK
    DL 546 · Delta · 4h 59m · 93% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:14 JFK → 18:54 MIA
    DL 2500 · Delta · 3h 40m · 72% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 54mPHX 06:00 to MIA 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.