tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 08:15 ATL
    DL 550 · Delta · 2h 15m · 91% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 ATL → 11:09 BUF
    DL 1384 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 09mLGA 06:00 to BUF 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.