tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 08:15 ATL
    DL 550 · Delta · 2h 15m · 91% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 11:53 SDF
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 53mLGA 06:00 to SDF 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.