tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 08:15 ATL
    DL 550 · Delta · 2h 15m · 91% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ATL → 10:43 JAX
    DL 2356 · Delta · 1h 13m · 89% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 43mLGA 06:00 to JAX 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.