tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:54 MEM → 20:29 ATL
    DL 552 · Delta · 1h 35m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:17 MDW
    DL 1076 · Delta · 2h 02m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 23mMEM 17:54 to MDW 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.