tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:54 MEM → 20:29 ATL
    DL 552 · Delta · 1h 35m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ATL → 22:56 MCO
    DL 1733 · Delta · 1h 36m · 65% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 02mMEM 17:54 to MCO 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.