tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 11:56 SEA → 19:54 ATL
    DL 554 · Delta · 4h 58m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:10 ATL → 23:43 MSY
    DL 2224 · Delta · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 48mSEA 11:56 to MSY 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.