tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Miami via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 21:00 SNA → 05:23 JFK
    DL 556 · Delta · 5h 23m · 89% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 JFK → 10:21 MIA +1 day
    DL 1528 · Delta · 3h 16m · 86% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 21mSNA 21:00 to MIA 10:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.