tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Wilmington via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:30 ATL → 11:45 LGA
    DL 557 · Delta · 2h 15m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:29 LGA → 16:42 ILM
    DL 5212 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 09m · 73% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 08mATL 09:30 to ILM 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.