tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Dulles via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:00 AUS → 11:56 DTW
    DL 559 · Delta · 2h 56m · 93% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 DTW → 16:42 IAD
    DL 1787 · Delta · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 42mAUS 08:00 to IAD 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.