tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 07:20 SEA → 15:13 ATL
    DL 562 · Delta · 4h 53m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ATL → 17:27 AUS
    DL 1491 · Delta · 2h 29m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 09mSEA 07:20 to AUS 17:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.