tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 13:22 STL → 16:07 ATL
    DL 566 · Delta · 1h 41m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 ATL → 18:52 SRQ
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 31mSTL 13:22 to SRQ 18:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.