tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via Las Vegas: arrives on time 84%

  1. 19:29 JFK → 22:20 LAS
    DL 568 · Delta · 5h 51m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 01:55 LAS → 05:16 HNL +1 day
    AS 817 · Alaska · 6h 21m · 87% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 15h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip15h 47mJFK 19:29 to HNL 05:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.