tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 SEA → 13:49 ATL
    DL 569 · Delta · 4h 49m · 95% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:01 ATL → 18:04 TUL
    DL 2837 · Delta · 2h 03m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 04mSEA 06:00 to TUL 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.