tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 13:40 ATL
    DL 570 · Delta · 4h 40m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:19 ATL → 15:57 MSY
    DL 3146 · Delta · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 57mSFO 06:00 to MSY 15:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.