tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:45 LAS → 21:57 ATL
    DL 591 · Delta · 4h 12m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 ATL → 00:40 BWI +1 day
    DL 2590 · Delta · 1h 55m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 55mLAS 14:45 to BWI 00:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.