tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 14:45 LAS → 21:57 ATL
    DL 591 · Delta · 4h 12m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 43mLAS 14:45 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.