tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Diego via Las Vegas: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 09:25 LAS
    DL 607 · Delta · 5h 25m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:56 LAS → 14:17 SAN
    DL 3741 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 21m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 17mJFK 07:00 to SAN 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.