tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 09:25 LAS
    DL 607 · Delta · 5h 25m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:45 LAS → 14:20 SJC
    WN 4223 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 20mJFK 07:00 to SJC 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.