tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:10 BOS → 18:10 ATL
    DL 638 · Delta · 3h 00m · 80% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 21:25 LGA
    DL 468 · Delta · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 15mBOS 15:10 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.