tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:50 SFO → 15:33 ATL
    DL 640 · Delta · 4h 43m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ATL → 20:27 LGA
    DL 434 · Delta · 2h 27m · 64% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip9h 37mSFO 07:50 to LGA 20:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.